2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model that’s nailed 8 majors

by | May 24, 2022 | PGA

Texas will host its final PGA Tour stop of the season when golfers take part in the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club later this week. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler will be looking to bounce back after missing the cut at the PGA Championship last weekend. Scheffler is the 10-1 favorite in the latest 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas is 12-1.

Scheffler is one of several native Texans in the field, with Jordan Spieth (14-1) being another. Defending Charles Schwab Challenge winner Jason Kokrak is a 40-1 long shot. Before making any 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf model. 

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, it’s up over $9,500 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model included Thomas in its best bets to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit at +1600, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned almost $800. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s model was all over Scheffler’s first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm’s (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge (see tickets at StubHub) is approaching, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the Charles Schwab Challenge 2022: Scheffler, the world’s No. 1 player and the tournament favorite, stumbles and fails to win. Scheffler has four wins this season, which is twice as many as any other golfer and he’s also the No. 1 player in FedEx Cup rankings. But he’s coming off a missed cut at the PGA Championship which ended a streak of seven straight top-25 finishes at major tournaments.

Scheffler grew up in the Dallas-Fort Worth area and says he loves the Colonial Country Club, but that adoration hasn’t translated into success when playing it. He’s competed at this tournament each of the last two years, missing the cut in 2021 and finishing 55th in 2020. Also, Perry Maxwell, who designed the Colonial Country Club, also designed Southern Hills Country Club which just hosted the PGA Championship and saw Scheffler miss the cut there. Despite his world ranking and dominant tour season, the model sees there being far better options than Scheffler for 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge bets.

Another surprise: Sam Burns, a 25-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Burns is quietly putting together one of the best seasons of any golfer on the PGA Tour. He played six consecutive tournaments inside the top 15 from October to December before going on to finish ninth at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Burns added a win at the Valspar Championship and finished second at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans.

He is near the top of the PGA Tour’s official money list, but he is not respected by the betting market. Burns added to his good form with a top 20 finish at the PGA Championship, giving himself something to build on this weekend. He ranks inside the top 15 in total shots gained this season, which is one reason why SportsLine’s model has identified him as a valuable long shot. 

How to make 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

So who will win the Charles Schwab Challenge 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed eight golf majors, including this year’s Masters.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, field

Scottie Scheffler 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Jordan Spieth 14-1
Collin Morikawa 16-1
Viktor Hovland 18-1
Will Zalatoris 20-1
Max Homa 25-1
Sam Burns 25-1
Abraham Ancer 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Jason Kokrak 40-1
Talor Gooch 40-1
Billy Horschel 40-1
Gary Woodland 45-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Webb Simpson 45-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Kevin Na 50-1
Harold Varner 50-1
Chris Kirk 50-1
Bubba Watson 50-1
Bryson DeChambeau 50-1
Maverick McNealy 50-1
Sebastian Munoz 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Tom Hoge 55-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65-1
Cameron Tringale 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Rickie Fowler 65-1
C.T. Pan 70-1
Ryan Palmer 70-1
Sepp Straka 80-1
Cam Davis 80-1
Erik Van Rooyen 80-1
Kevin Kisner 80-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 80-1
Adam Long 90-1
Troy Merritt 90-1
Joel Dahmen 90-1
Russell Knox 90-1
Doug Ghim 90-1
Patton Kizzire 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Denny McCarthy 100-1
Sahith Theegala 100-1
Matt Jones 100-1
David Lipsky 100-1
Kevin Streelman 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Aaron Rai 100-1
Lucas Herbert 100-1
Matthew NeSmith 100-1
J.T. Poston 125-1
Brendon Todd 125-1
Lucas Glover 125-1
Charl Schwartzel 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
J.J. Spaun 125-1
Kurt Kitayama 125-1
Brandon Wu 125-1
Nate Lashley 125-1
Dylan Frittelli 125-1
Peter Malnati 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 150-1
Alex Smalley 150-1
Stephan Jaeger 150-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Matthias Schwab 150-1
Carlos Ortiz 150-1
Chez Reavie 150-1
Austin Smotherman 150-1
Nick Taylor 150-1
Taylor Moore 150-1
Min Woo Lee 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
Richard Bland 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Adam Svensson 200-1
Danny Lee 200-1
Garrick Higgo 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Chad Ramey 200-1
Doc Redman 225-1
Zach Johnson 250-1
Michael Thompson 250-1
Kramer Hickok 250-1
Andrew Putnam 250-1
Brian Stuard 250-1
Adam Schenk 250-1
Vince Whaley 250-1
Brandt Snedeker 250-1
Charley Hoffman 250-1
Luke Donald 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Robert Streb 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Hayden Buckley 300-1
Lee Hodges 300-1
Tyler Duncan 300-1
Paul Barjon 300-1
Trey Mullinax 300-1
Ryan Brehm 400-1
Camilo Villegas 400-1
Kevin Tway 400-1
Martin Trainer 500-1
Bill Haas 500-1
Ty Strafaci 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Max McGreevy 500-1
James Piot 500-1
John Pak 500-1
Erik Compton 500-1

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