BMW Championship odds, tips and predictions

by | Aug 27, 2021 | PGA

The season’s top 70 golfers in the FedEx Cup standings after Tony Finau’s win at the Northern Trust are moving to the Caves Valley Golf Club in Owings Mills, Maryland for the BMW Championship. Finau moved up to first place in the overall standings with his first win in more than five years. Below we take a look at the odds of the BMW Championship 2021 and hit our PGA Tour tips and predictions to win.

The Caves Valley Golf Club is a new venue for the penultimate event of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. The Tom Fazio design measures 7,542 yards and plays at par of 72. Jon Rahm, who continues to top the Golfweek / Sagarin rankings, won this event last year but at Olympia Fields Country Club.

The top 30 of the leaderboard after this week will advance to the Tour Championship playoff final at East Lake Golf Club. Some big names starting outside the top 30 this week are Kevin Kisner, 31, Keegan Bradley (32), Sergio Garcia (44), Webb Simpson (52), Paul Casey (54) and Phil Mickelson (70).

Tipico Sportsbook odds; Access USA TODAY Sports betting odds for a complete list. The rows were last updated on Tuesday at 4:40 p.m. ET.


Bryson DeChambeau (+2000)

DeChambeau was the first two-time winner of the 2020-21 PGA Tour season, but he has no wins and only three top 10 finishes in his last 13 events. He had a lackluster T-31 finish last week and enters the penultimate event of the season ninth in the FedEx Cup standings.

Despite his recent (relative) fighting and media silence, DeChambeau still leads all qualified golfers and players in this field with 1.14 strokes won: off-the-tee per round. The length and wide landing areas of Caves Valley are well suited for his game, and he recently finished eighth in the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational while winning 0.85 shots per round on the putter.

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Sam Burns (+5000)

Burns broke out in early May with his first career win on the PGA Tour at the Valspar Championship and followed two weeks later with a second place finish at the AT&T Byron Nelson. He returned to the front page of the leaderboard with a T-2 finish at the WGC invitational event before finishing in 21st place last week.

He came 12th in the season’s standings in the BMW Championship, but shared only the 24th best chances of winning. It averages 0.67 SG: Approach and 0.52 SG: Putting for the season in addition to 0.27 SG: Off-the-Tee per round.

Check the route book: Caves Valley for the BMW Championship of the PGA Tour

Cave valley

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Sergio Garcia (+9000)

The 41-year-old former Masters champion has struggled with the putter all season and missed the cut last week, but Caves Valley is a strong course. Among the qualified golfers in SG: Off-the-Tee, he is only behind DeChambeau and Rahm.

He too should be highly motivated this week, but needs a strong finish to advance to the Tour Championship. He starts the week in 44th place in the season running standings with his only win of the 2020-21 season, which was achieved last fall at the Sanderson Farms Championship.

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