Bright, sunny days are a rarity in England – especially at the British Open. But on a 70-degree Friday in July, the wind never went more than 20 miles an hour and there wasn’t even a hint of condensation. The primary defense of links courses against low scores is elements of weather. If these are not there, the course is left to take. Much to the player’s benefit, some of our top PGA DFS picks of the week took advantage of this by posting some incredible DFS golf results in the first two rounds.
Yesterday there was a new goal record for an opening round, which was broken in round 2. The field averaged 69.4 and Louis Oosthuizen set the British Open Championship’s 36-hole record at 129. The weather is set to continue for the next few days, giving players the opportunity to set all kinds of records by the end of the week.
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Be sure to check out Awesemo’s Round 3 British Open Expert PGA DFS Showdown Projections and Possessions.
PGA DFS Showdown Picks: British Open Round 3
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Collin Morikawa looked good from the first tee as some were just waking up to catch the early morning action on the east coast. At one point everyone thought he was going to set the scoring record at 62 or equal, but a few bad drives at the keyholes left him satisfied with a brilliant 64. Emiliano Grillo reached this number with the best round in a major of his career. The history of Marcel Siem is getting better and better; he only came into the field last Sunday based on his most recent game on the Challenge Tour.
Daniel van Tonder continues its hot form on the final piece, although much of it takes place on the Sunshine Tour. Still, he’s playing among the best this week and sitting in the top 10 before the weekend.
Tony Finau, who hadn’t shown any signs of good form for the week, found something on Friday with a 66. Ryan Fox, Corey Conners and Cameron Smith round off the golfers who are among the 24 who tee off ahead of group 20 today. The early / late wave has a massive lead.
The story was always about Jordan Spieth, Oosthuizen and who would catch Morikawa first. Spieth caught him after the birdie on 12, with some of the easiest holes left to play. But he didn’t make another birdie, he bogeyed and decided on 67. Oosthuizen also caught Morikawa after his birdie on 12, but went into his next two birdie eagles. A careless bogey walking in gave him a 2-shot lead.
Many other big names from that wave made huge moves, including Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm. The former backed a 68 with a 65 and is only 4 behind, while Rahm’s bouts were undone in Round 1 and he linked the tournament to a low level at 64 on Friday. Dylan Frittelli has also found a point of shape with consecutive solid rounds of 66 and 67. His playing partner Brian Harman and Mackenzie Hughes wouldn’t do as well as they did today but both are in the top 20 ahead of the weekend. Scottie Scheffler continues his good form as well and matched Frittelli’s two rounds, but in opposite ways, reaching 67 on round 1 and 66 on Friday.
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Round 2 statistics summary
Stroke won statistics are not available for the British Open, but some basic statistics are. Although these are not nearly as predictive as the strokes won, they can at least give a glimpse of where golfers are performing well and where they are not. Field average
Driving accuracy (field average 57.5%)
- Boom German
- Aaron Rai
- Ian Poulter
Greens in regulation (field average 65.6%)
All of the following hit 75% or more of their greens in two rounds:
- Brandt Snedeker
- Richard Mansell
- Ryan Fox
- Jon Rahm
- Jordan Spieth
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Patrick Cantlay
- Scottie Scheffler
- Lanto Griffin
- Brooks Koepka
- Chan Kim
- Collin Morikawa
- Corey Conners
- Dustin Johnson
- Kevin Streelman
- Lee Westwood
- Matthias Schmid
Seventeen of these 18 golfers made the cut. One not: No. 8 on this list, Patrick Cantlay.
Putts per green
- Collin Morikawa
- Justin Rose
- Andy Sullivan
- Cameron Tringale
- Christoffer Bring
- Daniel van Tonder
- Dylan Frittelli
- Ian Poulter
- Johannes Veerman
- Jonathan Thomson
- Justin Harding
Awesemo’s top golfer tool is an ace
Since golf performances are largely uncorrelated between one golfer and the other, weather permitting, a great way to think of a PGA DFS lineup is as a parlay where you have to hit all 6 picks to hit. The Awesemo Top Golfer Tool gives you the probability that every golfer will end up in the top 6 and their 25%, 50% and 75% results as a measure of what you can expect from any golfer at the tournament.
PGA DFS Showdown Picks: Slate Preview
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The British Open PGA DFS picks
The wind really didn’t matter all day today and got even lighter as the day went on. The same weather pattern is expected for the next two days, with nice temperatures, sunny skies and weak winds. That is not to say Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele will be removed from the lineups as these two will be the golfers with the lowest possessions over $ 8,500 for tomorrow’s slate.
With so many of the biggest names playing well, there should be plenty of balanced lineups, starting with Johnson and Morikawa. Brooks Koepka’s price has also come down significantly, and it is likely to be a popular round 3 target. Starting with these three golfers still leaves plenty of salary and options to build a quality line.
PGA DFS picks for Round 3 of the British Open
- Jordan Spieth ($ 10,400): With no position points available and the second highest price on the board, it’s possible that Spieth and Rahm are kept relatively low, at least when compared to Johnson.
- Dustin Johnson ($ 9,000): The price is just too good to pass up here, very similar to Morikawa. You will be very highly owned tomorrow, but for a reason. Johnson appears ready to take a run this weekend while Morikawa is in full command.
- Adam Scott ($ 7,500): A bogey-free 66 got Scott back into the weekend at the British Open. It’s packed with other popular pieces like Corey Conners and Daniel Berger, so it shouldn’t be noticed by too many. He and Sergio Garcia are the best games in the middle of the $ 7,000 for a balanced approach.
Sneaky pick for the showdown in round 3
- Marcel Siem ($ 6,100): In the golf world, there is no better story than Siem this week. Two weeks ago he only had a top 10 for the entire season, most of his starts came on the Challenge Tour. But then something clicked and he finished fifth and then first and earned a place in the field this week. He’s done this here in two rounds to great success and could have a life changing weekend ahead of him.
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