Jon Rahm, the world’s number 1 golfer, is the 10-1 favorite to win the Northern Trust this week in its first promotion since the British Open after retiring from the Olympics for testing positive for COVID-19 Had to withdraw from playing in Tokyo.
Defending champions Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth are second picks 16-1 to win the first of three events that include the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
Handicapper Wes Reynolds, co-host of VSiN’s Long Shots golf betting show, looked down the odds table for his best bets, starting with Rory McIlroy at 22: 1.
“Even with a Wells Fargo Championship win earlier this season, it was clearly a bad year for McIlroy as he continues to work on swing changes with Pete Cowen,” said Reynolds (@ WesReynolds1). “However, he seemed to have made most of his progress on his last start at the WGC: FedEx St. Jude Invitational, where he started with a round of 72 before finishing the week in 12th place with three straight 66s.
“McIlroy was sixth here at Liberty National in 2019. He has 19 PGA Tour wins in his career and his next win will hit the magic number of 20, which gives him a lifetime exception from the PGA Tour when he turns 35 . “
Here are Reynolds’ other best bets and comments on each:
Justin Thomas, 27-1
“The last time Thomas drifted this high, we were on board to win the Players Championship. Unlike many other top-end players, he doesn’t have much current form in terms of stats. But on his last start in Memphis he was fourth on the approach – always his bread and butter – which was his best performance since the beginning of May. “
Daniel Berger, 31-1
“Berger has achieved three top 10 finishes in his last four starts, including a tie in fifth place two weeks ago in Memphis.
“While this is Berger’s first appearance at Liberty National in a stroke play event, he was part of the Presidents Cup team here in 2017 and made the decisive putt for Team USA on Sunday.”
Patrick Cantlay, 33-1
“Cantlay slipped a little from his season highlight when he won the Memorial tournament in a playoff against Collin Morikawa. But this seems like a place to get back to your triumphs.
“He took first place on the PGA Tour in scrambling and fourth in bogey avoidance. And all four of his PGA Tour victories came on greens with bentgrass, three of them on pure bentgrass putting surfaces. “
Paul Casey, 38-1
“Casey has two top five finishes in his last two starts, with a fifth place tie in Memphis, followed by a fourth place tie at the Olympics, where he was part of that massive bronze medal playoff. “
Contact reporter Todd Dewey at email@example.com. Follow @ tdewey33 on Twitter.